Any guess of what will be the passing rate this year ?

[NIMISH]

So, there are various people guessing different for mps. Now just barely 2 days away from dooms day , what do you think should/will be passing rate this year?

 

[Infidel Cash Flo]

47

 

[Rogue Trader]

Pass rate for L2 2016: 48%

 

[NIMISH]

Considering the paper I think should be 52-53%

 

[Onward]

It will be 47.395684875213846512318487521354879% and they will round it down to 47%. How do I know I hear you ask? I can warg like Brann Stark, easy, you’re welcome

 

[Onward]

p.s. now if I could only warg back in time and make some alterations, hahahahaha *sigh*
p.p.s. I kid, I kid, Ethics and all that jazz!

 

[Deal_Clincher]

46% should not be any major variation from last year.

 

[40yoCFAcandidate]

My guess is that it is lower than recent years, maybe even low enough to get people’s attention. There are a LOT of people taking this exam. If the institute wants to protect the brand, they need to exert some control over the flow of new charterholders. They have an interesting balancing act.

 

[calvol]

I’m guessing 48% pass rate and 62% MPS…. I think there’s a logjam at L2 going back several years, and a lot of well-prepared candidates due to proliferation of prep courses.

 

[Anbu]

calvol wrote:
I’m guessing 48% pass rate and 62% MPS…. I think there’s a logjam at L2 going back several years, and a lot of well-prepared candidates due to proliferation of prep courses.

wait..what? Logjam? Is that even a factor in determining MPS? Wouldn’t this distort the competence level the CFAI is intending to maintain?

 

[Onward]

Anbu_ wrote:

calvol wrote:
I’m guessing 48% pass rate and 62% MPS…. I think there’s a logjam at L2 going back several years, and a lot of well-prepared candidates due to proliferation of prep courses.

wait..what? Logjam? Is that even a factor in determining MPS? Wouldn’t this distort the competence level the CFAI is intending to maintain?

hahaha of course, the infamous “Logjam Adjustment”, DUH! I will have to start wearing some tinfoil before venturing into AF soon enough. All the theory crafting though… lol

 

[berave]

46

 

[Professor_of_Hamburg]

the higher the passing rate, the harder the test was. So was the test easy or hard?

 

[calvol]

Anbu_ wrote:
wait..what? Logjam? Is that even a factor in determining MPS? Wouldn’t this distort the competence level the CFAI is intending to maintain?

Checkout the year it was 70+% and decide for yourself!

 

[Dubinator]

64-66%

 

[M_Mitchell08]

calvol wrote:

Anbu_ wrote:
wait..what? Logjam? Is that even a factor in determining MPS? Wouldn’t this distort the competence level the CFAI is intending to maintain?

Checkout the year it was 70+% and decide for yourself!

There hasn’t been a pass rate that high in nearly 30 years. Not to mention that during that time, all three exams had pass rates in that range - doubt it was clearing a log-jam.

 

[biuku]

calvol wrote:
I’m guessing 48% pass rate and 62% MPS…. I think there’s a logjam at L2 going back several years, and a lot of well-prepared candidates due to proliferation of prep courses.

Are you saying there is a spike in repeat writers (and assuming they are stronger candidates in L2)? I don’t think there’s a spike. L2 pass rate has been consistently around 40-45% for 15 years. Whatever the repeat rate was 8 years ago, I can’t see why it would be significantly higher today.
I agree that a repeat writer is probably a stronger L2 candidate. Absorbing that much content in 6 months was tough. Absorbing it a second time would leave much more energy for focusing on drilling. Repeat writers likely have more grit as well to bear down on the content with intensity.
But I don’t agree 2016 should have had a lot more repeat writers than any year in the past decade.