gjertsen Wrote:
——————————————————-
> 75% sure I passed. May be the folly of
> forecasting.
Overconfidence bias… or status quo trap? Representativeness?
I spoke with a Schweser instructor. He mentioned that our assumptions are more often than not wrong. For example, you think you did well in the morning… Guess what, you only did well in the afternoon. So there may be merit in feeling you failed, but in a borderline sense
big ML Wrote:
——————————————————-
> Everyone I know is far more sure that I passed
> than I am. This is not a good situation to be in
> as I can only disappoint.
This is so true. Everyone says “I’m sure you did fine!” and acts as if passing is just a given since I studied so much.
ATH Wrote:
——————————————————-
> big ML Wrote:
> ————————————————–
> —–
> > Everyone I know is far more sure that I passed
> > than I am. This is not a good situation to be
> in
> > as I can only disappoint.
>
>
> This is so true. Everyone says “I’m sure you did
> fine!” and acts as if passing is just a given
> since I studied so much.
my friends say things like that too. When I told them I passed, they were like “I told you that you would. I just don’t get it why you were so worried”
They have no clue what is behind a level II pass….
this :
“I spoke with a Schweser instructor. He mentioned that our assumptions are more often than not wrong. For example, you think you did well in the morning… Guess what, you only did well in the afternoon. So there may be merit in feeling you failed, but in a borderline sense”
is so true. Last year, I felt that I had passed and when I got the results, found that I did do well in the afternoon but not the morning. total shock.
passme Wrote:
——————————————————-
> ATH Wrote:
> ————————————————–
> —–
> > big ML Wrote:
> >
> ————————————————–
>
> > —–
> > > Everyone I know is far more sure that I
> passed
> > > than I am. This is not a good situation to
> be
> > in
> > > as I can only disappoint.
> >
> >
> > This is so true. Everyone says “I’m sure you
> did
> > fine!” and acts as if passing is just a given
> > since I studied so much.
> my friends say things like that too. When I told
> them I passed, they were like “I told you that you
> would. I just don’t get it why you were so
> worried”
>
> They have no clue what is behind a level II
> pass….
I like these posts…
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