Borderline guys (High 50s/low 60s mocks)...can we make it?

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Tommyjohn

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I did two mocks. 55 and 64. Not ideal. Then em again I found the real thing to be (slightly) easier than either mock I took.
All my borderline guys scoring similarly: What do you think your chances are? I think I have a 1/4 shot of passing.
 
How many questions did you have to guess? Just think about it this way. If that number was less than 40 then you’ll probably pass. That’s only if you’re sure you got the other 80 questions absolutely correct.
 
here is what I think my breakdown was:
I think I fully KNEW 30 questions: so expected value of 30 correct
I made BLIND guesses on maybe 20 of them: so expected value of 7 correct
The remaning 70 questions, I was some varying degree of sure/unsure but at least able to cross off one answer: so expected value of 35 correct.
Thats a pretty conservative estimate of how I did, to be honest I think I “knew” more than 30, espectially in the qualitative afternoon section where my lack of formula memorization actually played to my advantage. I found the PM to be pretty good….but I want to be on the side of caution. that puts me at a 72/120 which is not a pass. I am 5 off of the pass rate, assuming its 77/120 which I cant see it being more than that from what I hear about the progtam from previous candidates.
Where am I getting those extra 5 correct from? I guess what it comes down to is Ethics and Guess-Luck. which is not where I want to be, but given my mock scores I think I am in the fat part of the curve, which is Band 9/10/low pass.
 
Tommyjohn wrote:
… but given my mock scores I think I am in the fat part of the curve, which is Band 9/10/low pass.
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Add a +5% adjustment for being a regular on these forums, and you pass! I’m being semi-serious - the fact that you’re actively on these forums greatly improves your chances of success, based on empirical evidence.
 
haha im on this forum because i want people to give it to me harsh. people here tend to be pretty unforgiving and insightful which i think is ideal when youre trying to assess your chances.
 
Tommyjohn wrote:
haha im on this forum because i want people to give it to me harsh. people here tend to be pretty unforgiving and insightful which i think is ideal when youre trying to assess your chances.
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… which is why you get the +5% adjustment! Good luck! :)
 
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