How realistic are my chances of passing?

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Hello all.
I’m sure this type of post gets posted frequently here, but I would really appreciate any insight given my situation.
I have signed up for Level 1. I have only completed the Financial Reporting and Statistics chapters. I am a CPA with five years of experience and I’ve worked with hedge fund clients for about 3 years.
How realistic are my chances of passing the exam on December 3 if I buckle down for the next 47-ish days? I work a full-time by the way.
Any advice is sincerely appreciated!!
 
Reasonably good, on average.
Make sure that you you learn FRA as CFA Institute wants you to, which may not be the way you normally do accounting.
 
Given your experience and your pledge to study another 47 days I’d rate your chances 90%+.
 
It all depends on your understanding of DCF, WACC, and all the other formulas. You should be aware that the ethics section is ultimately a make it not break it section; it’s also time consuming to study for. I give you around 60% odds with a month and a half before the exam.
 
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