There is some pretty good work done on this. You can view the detailed breakdown for like $20 or so on the 300 hours website. They have a pretty accurate estimation. To answer your question. Last years estimated passing rate was 67 and 63 the two years prior. I could be off 1 percentage point and I don’t have the report in front of me. I do remember though, last year, although the MPS was higher so was the number of passing candidates which to me would imply perhaps last years exam was easy on a relative basis. I didn’t sit for it to compare, but I think it’s fair to guess somewhere between those points is most likely. Have you read anything from someone who tested last year and this year as well? I’m interested what everyone is thinking. I thought the morning wasn’t bad but left the afternoon super discouraged. It would probably take a lucky guessing day for me to pass. I feel like 60 is a fair estimate of my score and am pretty dissapointed about it. Who knows though!