bchadwick Wrote:
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> EBIT can be thought of as a very rough
> approximation for Cash Flow from Operations (CFO).
> If it’s negative, it means that the company isn’t
> selling enough to cover its fixed costs (assuming
> that the company isn’t already selling below its
> variable costs, which would probably only happen
> in an inventory liquidation). So negative EBIT is
> a bad thing, because there isn’t enough earnings
> to cover any expenses. It’s only tolerable in a
> early stage growth company (probably not public),
> or possibly a company that has just launched a
> major new product line.
>
> There was an EBITDA question earlier; EBITDA is a
> very rough approximation for Free Cash Flow, which
> is about how much cash is left over after sales,
> variable costs, and capital expenditures are
> accounted for. If EBIT is positive and EBITDA is
> negative, then you need to worry that a mature
> company isn’t making enough to keep its capital
> needs maintained, and so any profits might not be
> sustainable when long-lived assets need to be
> replaced. Again, in a young and growing company,
> capital expenditures are likely to be
> proportionally greater as it ramps up capacity, so
> it’s not as big a worry, but still something one
> needs to keep an eye on.
If EBIT is positive then EBITDA will also be positive. As a banker I would say the most relevant measure of cash flow from operations is EBITDA followed by EBIT. Basically each measure shows how much cash is left over after funding operating expenses, and particularly from a banker’s standpoint,how much is available to service debt. As a measure of cash flow to determine equity value, I’d say neither is relevant. For eaxample, you have a small company with a great EBITDA. However, for that company to ramp up, it may require a large investment funded by debt, especially if the business is dependent on ongoing capital expenditures. That being the case, the company will borrow to fund that investment. If you add back all the interest and depreciation on those fixed assets, as well as the taxes and any amortization, then the company can show a good EBITDA. But by the time they get done paying off the bank’s interest each month, there’s nothing left for shareholders. This is particularly a problem if the company needs to continually reinvest in capital expenditures and/or repair/maintain its fixed assets. No wonder why the airlines have never made money since the Wright Brothers…. competitive pricing and sunstantial ongoing capex.
So, when EBIT goes from negative to positive, the change is due to either lower taxes and/or interest, higher earnings, or a combination thereof.