Predict your results

I felt similar after reading the comments, and thought I do not want to be fooled by false impressions. Hence, I put a list together where I tried to recap and split by following 3 topics: 1. Certain to be correct; 2. Not 100% certain; and 3. 100% certain that I was wrong. In order to be objective, I checked those subjects and read the respective books. After doing this, I figured out that I have overall about 20 on the positive side (including whole questions/sections like for example Ethics, etc. and sub-questions, around 5 (including only sub-questions), where I am not certain if I made some mistakes (there I missed some points), and last but not least 5 sub-questions, where I am 100% certain that I made mistakes. With that I have to mention, that I finished both am and pm. I was struggling with am in terms of time (I answered the first 3-5 questions very detailed and realized that I need to speed up to finish, which I have done.However this caused me to have some mistakes on the questions 6-8. Towards the end I figured out that I would have more time and performed again well on questions 9-11). The PM part I could have done faster, however I decided to calculate not only the correct answer but to calculate also the wrong ones if I was not sure. I thinks what makes the difference are 2 points: My sessions included old mocks since 2009, Schweser including online q-database and most of those twice, where I was not sure (some of the those topics appeared also this year). And most important, recap in the morning exactly 1 specific topic, which was tested heavily during the whole exam (this was by chance, because I imagined that this could be tested). For those, who are now unsecure I would recommend to make a list and be objective. Not sure how they will grade it.
 
Guys,
Two things to remember, be confident ! you have done you part that is the key !
My opinion 65% AM and 70-75% PM would definetely put you on a “pass” track !
 
I am being bit pessimistic given so many are so optimistic about the PM. which might bring the MPS close to 70%
 
I passed and likely scored above 80% in all topics. Anything less is unacceptable
 
I’m beginning to realise how big the AF reporting bias is against the average “CFA’er” in terms of scores - everyone I know who has the CFA (7-8 people) were never scoring in the 70s-80s consistently in mocks and weren’t confident that they had passed the third level - some guys even left out 2-3 questions in the AM and were fine without doing brilliantly on the other AM questions (and no they didn’t get 100% in the PM)
Judging by their score matrices I would be astonished if the average MPS of level 3 has ever been above 65 and would assume that it’s 60-62. Hopefully this year it will be lower because a lot of people didn’t finish AM, although I have a feeling CFAI will try to have a lower proportion of people passing this year compared to last year, so maybe not!
AF is bad for your sanity . .
 
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