Probability Questions

Semacks

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Someone help me, please note that options are four but go ahead n solve (post workings please)
Telephone calls arrive at the rate of 48 per hour at the reservation desk for Regional Airways.
a. Find the probability of receiving 3 calls in a 5 minute interval.
Choose one answer.
a. 62.88%
b. 19.54%
c. 43.35%
d. 56.65%
b. Find the probability of receiving 10 calls in 15 minutes.
Choose one answer.
a. 5.29%
b. 15.60%
c. 97.42%
d. 10.48%
c. Suppose that no calls are currently on hold. If the agent takes 5 minutes to complete processing the current call, what is the probability that no callers will be waiting on hold?
Choose one answer.
a. 1.83%
b. 0.67%
c. 9.07%
d. 4.98%
d. If no calls are currently being processed, what is the probability the agent can take 3 minutes of personal time without being interrupted?
Choose one answer.
a. 9.07%
b. 1.83%
c. 0%
d. 0.67%
 
b
d
a
a
do you have the answers?
if you do, let me know, then i will post the workings….
 
dont have the answers they aint in Qbank or CFAI text…
 
48 calls per hour
=> 48 calls in 60 min
=> r= 48/60
In these types of problems Poisson distribution is applied
i) 3 calls in 5 min interval
Prob =[(rT)^k] * e(-rT) /k!;
r=48/60=4/5;
T=5;
k=3;
plug these in the Prob formula to get Prob = 19.54%
ii) 10 calls in 15 mins
solve as in part i
with r=48/60=4/5;
T=15;
k=10;
Prob= 10.48 % ;
iii) No callers waiting on hold in next 5 min means that you need to find the probability that no new calls will coem in next 5 min
so r=48/60=4/5;
T=5;
k=0;
Prob= 1.83%
remember the fact that 0!=1;(zero factorial is always 1)
iv) agent can take 3 min of personal tiem if he does not recieve any calls in next 3 min
so r=48/60;
T=3;
k=0;
Prob=9.07%;
I have solved your homework…
 
Thanks gauri…you did just that…back to the L2 forum now!!
 
Semacks Wrote:
——————————————————-
> Thanks gauri…you did just that…back to the L2
> forum now!!
are you seriously in level2 …
good luck!!
 
yeap…had tried to solve using the binomial with similar logic and got solutions very close for 8 n 9. Just a refresher which distribution is this??
PS: This stuff aint on the curriculum…just jogging my quant appetite
 
gauri..hadn’t seen the Poisson line…its clear now. jgrandits…this stuff wont appear on your exam. All the best guys!!
 
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