Hello again.
I’m studying again some topics that i felt i hadnt gave enough attention before the level 1 exam because of time issues, and now i face my toughest challange again. ECON!
Well, reading the CFAI curriculum its said that:
Investment decisions depend primarily on two factors: the level of interest rates and aggregate output/income. The level of interest rates reflects the cost of financing investment. The level of aggregate output serves as a proxy for the expected profit- ability of new investments. When an economy is underutilizing its resources, interest rates are typically very low and yet investment spending often remains dormant because the expected return on new investments is also low. Conversely, when output is high and companies have little spare capacity, the expected return on new investments is high. Thus, investment decisions may be modeled as a decreasing function I(⋅,⋅)of the real interest rate (nominal interest rate minus the expected rate of inflation) and an increasing function of the level of aggregate output. Formally, I = I(r, Y)
(Institute 230)
Institute, CFA. CFA Institute Level I 2014 Volume 2 Economics. John Wiley & Sons P&T, 2013-07-12. VitalBook file.”
So, wait a minute. What is written above is that higher interest rates leads to higher private sector investment?
Maybe its too obvious but i always thought it was exactly the opposite.
Can someone give me some light on that thinking?
I’m studying again some topics that i felt i hadnt gave enough attention before the level 1 exam because of time issues, and now i face my toughest challange again. ECON!
Well, reading the CFAI curriculum its said that:
Investment decisions depend primarily on two factors: the level of interest rates and aggregate output/income. The level of interest rates reflects the cost of financing investment. The level of aggregate output serves as a proxy for the expected profit- ability of new investments. When an economy is underutilizing its resources, interest rates are typically very low and yet investment spending often remains dormant because the expected return on new investments is also low. Conversely, when output is high and companies have little spare capacity, the expected return on new investments is high. Thus, investment decisions may be modeled as a decreasing function I(⋅,⋅)of the real interest rate (nominal interest rate minus the expected rate of inflation) and an increasing function of the level of aggregate output. Formally, I = I(r, Y)
(Institute 230)
Institute, CFA. CFA Institute Level I 2014 Volume 2 Economics. John Wiley & Sons P&T, 2013-07-12. VitalBook file.”
So, wait a minute. What is written above is that higher interest rates leads to higher private sector investment?
Maybe its too obvious but i always thought it was exactly the opposite.
Can someone give me some light on that thinking?