Reporting bias - Analystforum

vicky_cool400

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I am pretty sure there is lot of reporting bias at AF
A) Backfilling bias?
B) Survivorship bias?
 
AFPs (Analyst Forum Participants) may have a tendency to show hindsight bias as well
Regarding traps, hopely Overconfidence and Prudence cancel eachother
 
Audacious wrote:
I am a 100% sure that i have a 50% chance of passing
You prudence trapper bitch
You have 54% as per last year
 
…and at the end there will be a lot of hindsight bias, Like I knew from the beginning
 
I am betting on you Audacious
If you want we can make a felicity hedge
you fail, you receive some $ from me
you pass, you pay me happily
 
Thanks for your confidence in me.
I already entered a bet with a Nigerian prince. He’ll send me USD 50M whether I win or loose. Those Nigerian royalties are so generous.
I’ve got another one where a good Christian lady dreamt that Jesus asked her to donate her husband’s inheritance to me (actually no betting is involved). I told her that am a Muslim and we believe in Jesus the Christ as a prophet and we believe in his return; but we dont believe that he’s a son of God. She said it’s ok; am good enough. I just needed to send her lawyer USD 5000 registration fees in the great state of Florida; her lawyer’s bank account is in South Africa. They seem to enjoy international presence.
 
Great
Let’s hope the compliance officer of the First Seychelles Bank shoot you an email as well. He found an inactive account of 25M bucks and somehow he thinks you are a good soul to be the final beneficiary.
 
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