status quo trap vs. recallability trap

dhillon3

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what’s your take on the best way to think of these independently, as they are very familiar
  • Status quo trap—an analyst bases predictions on the recent past.
  • Recallability trap—an analyst lets past disasters or dramatic events weigh too heavily in his forecasts.
if the case doesn’t go on about a “disaster/crisis”, then status quo would be a better choice…thoughts?
 
I think yes, if any -ve events has undue influence on the forecast its recallability trap
 
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