Trouble with π concept

Bachatero2014

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Hey Guys
Under Options and Contracts, I’m having a hard time wrapping my head around the π concept. I know it means the risk neutral probability not the probability of a stock going up or down. I think a risk neutral investor is primarily only concerned with return whereas a risk adverse investor looks at the potenial return of a stock and its risk when calculating their required rate of return (I think). But risk neutral probability? hmm I can’t explain that in words. Is this in important concept or am I just spinning my wheels for no reason?
thanks
 
Don’t think of it as a probability. It’s merely a weight.
Calling it a probability (not you doing it; the curriculum doing it) is needlessly confusing.
 
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