Statement #1:“A portfolio’s VaR will be larger when it is measured at a 5 percent probability than when it is measured at a 1 percent probability.”
Statement #2:“A portfolio’s VaR will be larger when it is measured over a month than when it is measured over a day.
The answer says Statement #1 is incorrect, while statement #2 is correct.
I can understand that Statement #1 is incorrect, as the formula VaR = PV *(Return - Z-score*standard deviation), and we measure the loss as VaR. So VaR is larger when it is measured at a 1 percent probability where the Z-score is larger.
But how to use the formula to prove the Statement #2 is correct?
For example, Monthly VaR = PV * ( Monthly Return - Z-score * monthly standard deviation);
Annual VaR = PV * (12 * Monthly Return - Z-score * 12^0.5 * monthly standard deviation)
How to prove the annual VaR is larger than the monthly VaR?
Statement #2:“A portfolio’s VaR will be larger when it is measured over a month than when it is measured over a day.
The answer says Statement #1 is incorrect, while statement #2 is correct.
I can understand that Statement #1 is incorrect, as the formula VaR = PV *(Return - Z-score*standard deviation), and we measure the loss as VaR. So VaR is larger when it is measured at a 1 percent probability where the Z-score is larger.
But how to use the formula to prove the Statement #2 is correct?
For example, Monthly VaR = PV * ( Monthly Return - Z-score * monthly standard deviation);
Annual VaR = PV * (12 * Monthly Return - Z-score * 12^0.5 * monthly standard deviation)
How to prove the annual VaR is larger than the monthly VaR?